Archive for Mutual Funds
Holidays And The Markets
Posted by: | CommentsThe infamous stock market crash of 1929 took place in October. Then anther stock market crash took place in October 1989. October is the month in which the most famous crashes historically took place. You must have across the word the January Effect so many times. Do you believe in the January Effect? Markets are all about people buying and selling. What you believe is what you see in the markets. The party starts in December and continues in the early part of January with some hangover effect. So what is the January Effect?
There is usually a significant rally in the early part of January that actually sets the tone for the rest of the month and sometimes for the rest of the year. The January Effect can be quite a rally but much depends on the strength of the economy, how good December was and is there any catalyst to move the markets. So what is this January Effect? January Effect actually starts in the mid December and tends to favor small stocks. The most profitable period as measure statistically has been found to start from December 31st and end around February 28th with an average rate of return of 6.6% on smaller stocks.
Now, you must know this fact that the January Effect is not guaranteed every year. The best example is the year 2007 when the market became bearish and didnt start to look to bottom out until March 2008. Now January Effect may happen or may not happen but the turn of the month that is the last day of the month and first five days of the next month form a very good seasonal pattern.
But the end of each month tends to be good for trading. Turn of the month is a very good seasonal pattern that actually holds up more often than not. Chances are you are going to make some profit if you buy stocks at the last day of the month and hold them for the first five days for the next month. This can be a good swing trading strategy. At the end of the fifth day you move your money back into the money market funds.
Why the end of each month is good for trading? This system works because the pension funds tend to put new money to work during the holidays and the overall tendency of the market to rise improves. You can do the same on the holidays. Move your money in on the day before the holiday and sell it on the day after the holiday.
The holidays and those times when people traditionally take vacations often lead to higher prices. Fewer traders lead to lower trading volume which in turn tends to exaggerate price moves. People start to feel happy when the holidays approach and buy stocks before they run off to celebrate Christmas, the fourth of July, the Labor Day and so on. After the party the reality sets in the stocks are usually sold off.
Thats because these days fall within the most bullish time period of the year, winter! The three days before the New Year Eve and the first three days trading days after the New Year are your best holiday bet for making money.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try This 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signal Service! Know These Candlestick Patterns! Grab a totally unique version of this article from the Uber Article Directory
How To Put Stop Loss?
Posted by: | CommentsAn increase in trade size is usually caused by adding on or scaling in to a winning position. When adjusting your stops due to an increase in trade size, always move the stops closer to your current position. This lowers the risk in relation to your larger trade size.
When you trade, always try to develop an overall picture of the market using multiple time frames. As a rule, always set your stops on the same time frame as you entered your trade. Many traders want to know about moving stops based on different time frames. For example, if you had used a daily chart to enter your trade, use the daily chart to set your initial stop.
Day traders dont trade overnight. Each day is full of action but when the night comes peace prevails. For day traders there is a risk when holding a trade overnight. In day trading, you are supposed to close your position at the end of the day. Sometimes an opportunity arises and you decide to continue the trade overnight. There is always a possibility of unforeseen event occurring during the night.
There will always be one time frame that is your hot favorite. Suppose you are trading a 15 minute time frame. Therefore your stop loss and position size are based on the 15 minute time frame. In stock trading, unexpected event may create a gap open. This may adversely affect your account value.
Your trade is profitable and you see much more profits if you hold the position overnight based on your 15 minute chart 5 minutes before the close of the day. How do you decide to take the decision to let the trade continue overnight?
When deciding whether to let the trade continue overnight, consider the following 5 rules. 1) The 15 minute chart must indicate a solid trend in place. 2) You should place a new stop loss based on your daily chart. 3) The trade must currently be profitable. 4) Your risk should be no more than 2% of your trading account based on your new adjusted stop from the daily chart. Reduce your trade size. 5) When the market opens the next day, be sure to monitor your trade.
The most common thing that can happen in case of a poorly placed stop loss is that you will get stopped out on a correction. After being stopped out, the market will race back in the direction you were initially betting on. Continuously tweak your trading strategy to get the maximum returns. It is crucial from the profit point of view to refine your strategy. The more profitable you will be, the better your stop strategy is.
There is no way to time the market perfectly. Your goal should be to get the probabilities in your favor by choosing a risk/reward ratio of at least “. This risk to reward ratio will also tell you about the placement of your initial stop loss. Now you should keep this in your mind that there are no perfect stops. Just dont forget, getting repeated stopped out will add to your commission fees and spreads making your trading cost higher.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try This 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signal Service from heaven! Learn These Candlestick Patterns! Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service
Market Cycles Explained
Posted by: | CommentsThere are four major market cycles. Knowing these major market cycles is important for you and your trading system. Each market cycle requires a different approach from your trading system. Adapting to market cycles can improve your bottom line.
The four major market cycles are: 1) Trending, 2) Consolidating, 3) Breaking out of a consolidation and 4) Corrective. Lets discuss these market cycles now.
Trending is when the market starts to move consistently in one direction either up or down. An uptrend means each higher high is higher than the previous high and each lower low is also higher from the previous low. Similarly for the down trend!
Consolidating is when the market is struck between two horizontal support and resistance levels. On a chart, it will look like a sideways horizontal line.
Breaking out of a Consolidation is when there is a sharp increase or decrease in the price after the market has been consolidation for at least 20 bars.
And the last market cycle is the corrective cycle. Corrective is a short sharp reverse in prices during a longer market trend. Many traders also use Elliott Wave Theory to determine waves which are also an indication of market cycles In addition to these four market cycles.
There are five Elliott waves and each one has its own relevance in determining the trading strategy. However, using Elliott Waves is somewhat advanced for most traders. You need to have a thorough understanding and ability to correctly determine which wave the market is in at that point.
You need to learn how to correctly a market cycle. For example suppose the market is only in consolidation and you incorrectly determine that the market has entered a trend. Incorrectly identifying the market with either the four market cycles or by using the Elliot Waves can be a costly mistake.
Your best plan of action should be constant observation. You might enter a trend trade and get immediately stopped out. Market experience is the best teacher and only overtime you will be able to correctly figure out the market cycle.
Right side of the chart is always an unknown quantity for the trader until it reveals itself. Hindsight is always perfect but trying to predict the markets can be an elusive and impossible endeavor.
Remember spring, summer, autumn and winter, the four seasons of a year. The markets have four cycles just as there are four seasons in a year. You need to learn what the different market cycles are in addition to having a trading system. That means you should develop the skill of correctly identifying the different market cycles at the right time.
If you want to become a successful trader than you should be adapt at identifying the market cycle. Effectively identifying the market cycles is a skill that all successful traders have mastered. You need to learn how to adopt your approach to those cycles to remain profitable. For example in a choppy, sideways bracketed market, you need to adopt your system and rules so that you do not get whip sawed and stopped out a lot.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Learn These Candlestick Patterns. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals from heaven! Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service
How To Find Austin Safe High Return Investments
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Austin Safe High Return Investments
Want To Earn Higher Returns On Your Investments? Welcome to Austin Safe High Return Investments.
If you’re like most investors today, you’re probably pretty frustrated about the returns you’re getting on your investments lately. That’s why I created this site. Like you, I was tired of the low returns I was getting om traditional investments like certificates of deposit (CDs), money markets or even short term commercial paper.
There Are Lots Of Ways To Earn More On Your Money Than Banks Are Currently Paying
So, I set out to find out about other investments that could offer me the potential to earn a higher rate of return than those typical bank investments were paying. What I found is that there are lots of other investments out there that pay high returns, including real estate, private lending, the stock market, mutual funds and even commodities, options and more.
High Returns Are Great, But What About Risk and Safety?
While I wanted to earn a high rate of return on my money, I also wanted to be sure that I wasn’t getting into something risky. After all, we work hard to save money and the last thing we want is to invest it in something and lose it. Well, after quite a bit of investigating, I finally found a way to earn an above average rate of return on my money, while at the same time having more than just a piece of paper (like a stock or bond) to back it up.
Let’s face it, we all learned our lessons with the Enron debacle. You can have all the stock experts saying something is safe and a good investment, but the bottom line is that your fate is completely dependent on something you don’t understand at all or have any control over. I mean, how many Enron investors understood energy grids and offshore swaps and all the other complicated stuff those guys were doing?
Private Lending, Joint Ventures & Real Estate Investing Can Offer Both Safety And High Returns
What I found is that real estate investing, either as a financial partner with an experienced real estate investor, or private money loans where you loan money to someone who is investing in real estate, and then you secure your loan with the property the real estate investor is buying, can actually offer a high return on your investment, plus the security of a lien on the property that is being purchased.
That way, if the loan can’t be paid back, or if things don’t work out with the real estate investor’s deal, you at least have that property that you can sell and get your money back. You can get additional protection on this type of investment by insisting on title insurance (to ensure that you are covered in the event of any ownership disputes involving the property) and casualty insurance (to ensure that you are covered in the event that something happens to the property like a fire).
Get Your Free Report On The Safe High Return Investments Austin Has To Offer
This site is designed to share with you my experiences in using real estate investing, joint ventures and private lending to earn more with safe high return investments in Austitn and Texas, and to help you maximize your return on investing. I’ve also gathered information here for you on other high return investments, some safe and some more risky, just so you can see as many of the different options as I can find to share.
I’ll include case studies and other information as I find and experience them. I invite you to join me in sharing investing ideas and information about investing, and I hope you’ll let me send you my FREE Special Report on how to double or triple the returns that banks are paying. It’s a great read and filled with a lot of valuable information you can start using right away to improve your returns and investing options.
Contact Me
Joe Isam. Call me at (512) 799-7774 or click here to e-mail me now
www.AustinSafeHighReturnInvestments.com and www.GAustinHomes.com
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